Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 109.221015 124.845064 142.727622 164.890387 191.872770 223.986613 2.656021e+02
2025-05-11 87.462032 107.160295 131.969404 166.189268 213.289077 277.623372 3.755021e+02
2025-05-18 73.618964 94.313764 122.067322 163.263403 225.202025 319.161613 4.821218e+02
2025-05-25 65.277931 86.593182 116.639502 164.002542 240.769015 368.615712 6.195598e+02
2025-06-01 58.963107 80.456749 112.020013 164.360853 254.926820 419.065915 7.818235e+02
2025-06-08 53.420092 74.568485 106.675723 162.209830 263.821092 462.301308 9.523347e+02
2025-06-15 50.889060 72.796475 107.283305 169.793765 291.703177 551.927260 1.290166e+03
2025-06-22 46.104699 66.947327 100.499432 163.130664 290.387614 578.520168 1.479584e+03
2025-06-29 43.007368 63.454060 97.167586 162.147232 300.321779 634.947632 1.811013e+03
2025-07-06 40.436471 60.552004 94.472223 161.867981 311.638250 699.541823 2.241390e+03
2025-07-13 39.423902 60.128106 96.031165 170.165899 344.590457 838.928403 3.183383e+03
2025-07-20 38.905805 60.475041 98.986844 181.832213 389.295491 1040.867677 4.892183e+03
2025-07-27 36.430634 57.331269 95.370695 179.461886 399.190326 1141.385435 6.343193e+03
2025-08-03 34.633299 55.264657 93.636250 181.155992 421.510208 1308.309911 9.097281e+03
2025-08-10 32.506937 52.409892 90.031543 177.898009 428.662700 1421.613816 1.205747e+04
2025-08-17 31.004282 50.576721 88.264667 178.728688 448.858923 1614.675580 1.793757e+04
2025-08-24 29.604925 48.817549 86.451368 179.130610 468.096430 1826.381232 2.750932e+04
2025-08-31 28.089455 46.717961 83.710822 176.719500 477.210503 1996.298237 4.040531e+04
2025-09-07 27.593602 46.544120 85.036525 185.225851 529.173035 2509.142115 9.622601e+04
2025-09-14 25.901874 43.898279 80.733345 177.751537 517.930215 2570.562324 1.303152e+05
2025-09-21 24.817148 42.389009 78.811544 176.649353 532.120645 2858.940191 2.558334e+05
2025-09-28 23.871064 41.093682 77.249509 176.336428 549.840472 3218.058302 6.323444e+05
2025-10-05 23.625324 41.197853 78.872675 185.643628 614.268368 4199.790516 9.920353e+06